market stats

Late Summer 2020 NRV Real Estate Market Update

Late Summer 2020 NRV Real Estate Market Update

Bottom Line: What do you get when you add low interest rates and continued buyer demand to a real estate market with a historically low number of homes for sale? Even higher prices with fairly priced homes selling within days (or minutes) of being listed.

Late Summer 2020 Market Stats

Here are some stats comparing the summer months last year (in a historically ‘hot’ market) with what we have seen in the same time period this year in 2020:

Number of Homes for Sale

Number of Sales YTD

Average Days on Market Before a Home Goes Under Contract

Average Increase in Sales Price for Homes Under $450k

A Note About Interest …

As a buyer, you might see these stats and think it would be wise to hold off on buying until the market cools off. Please consider two things before you do and know that I believe in the first more than the second:

  1. With interest rates at historic lows (I’ve seen under 3%!!!) - and I mean historic - like never happened before historic - you might pay more for a property but end up with a lower payment because of the favorable rates. A mortgage on a $300k home at 4% would be $1145/mo. That same home priced $15k higher at $315k with a 3% mortgage would have a $1011/mo payment. Less per month for a home $15k more expensive!

  2. If you decided three years ago to wait for prices to fall before purchasing you would still be waiting and a home you could have gotten for $220k then would cost you $270k today.

A mortgage on a $300k home at 4% would be $1145/mo. That same home priced $15k higher at $315k with a 3% mortgage would have a $1011/mo payment. Less per month for a home $15k more expensive!

What all this means for:

Investors:

  • If you can take advantage of these low rates, it might be ok to pay market value for a property to have a property in your portfolio financed at this wicked low rate.

  • With continued uncertainty due to Covid, it could be worth taking advantage of these sky high prices to sell today and have cash on the sideline ready to redeploy if the uncertainty continues and prices fall - especially starting this fall.

Sellers:

  • Wait?! You are considering selling and have not listed your property yet?! Call me right now and let’s get it listed! Prices could continue to rise, however with 1. uncertainty in the future with the economy 2. historically high prices, and 3. historically low interest rates, there might not be a much better environment to sell your property in. Really, now is the time.

Buyers:

  • See the note on interest rates above. This market in some ways is a win win for buyers and sellers in that you can pay a little more today and end up with a lower monthly payment because of the low rates.

  • This is a market where it benefits to work with a real estate agent. When properties are moving in 3 days or less, you need to be the first to know when something is new on the market and be ready to make a good decision quickly - both of which a good agent can help you with. I get a heads up weekly both on properties that I will list but also on properties that the other 50 agents in my office have coming and can give my buyers a head start. I recently helped an investor friend put a duplex under contract that never went to market he would not have known about had it not been for our connection. I would love the chance to be that connection for you, too!

Conclusion: Low interest rates still make this hot market an attractive time to buy. High prices and an uncertain economic outlook make this a great time to consider selling (get while the gettin’s good). You have to move fast to get a property today, but it is a market where there are truly wins for buyers and sellers.

Do you know a seller who is ready to get their property listed?

Are you trying to figure out how to purchase a home in this fast paced market?

Do you want to learn how to build long term wealth through real estate?

Please get in touch. It would be my privilege to help you out.

Philip Bowling, REALTOR

PhilipBowling@gmail.com

(978) 473-0587 (c)

*Data comes from statistics pulled from InfoSparks, a service provided by the NRVAR.

Oct + Nov 2019 New River Valley Real Estate Market Update (+ What it means for you!)

Real Estate Market New River Valley / Blacksburg Virginia

This fall has brought a continuation of what has been a trend in Real Estate in the New River Valley (and really all over growing markets across the country). Especially if you are a buyer, what I’m about to say is going to be no surprise for you. But, hopefully can put some explanation to the frustration you have experienced trying to put an offer in on a house only to have it sell out from under you for more than you ever thought it should sell for!

The Bottom Line: Inventory (aka the number of houses that are available to buy in a given real estate market) is down and the number of interested buyers is up.

The Result: Homes continue to sell at historic highs and they sell very quickly.

The Conclusion: It continues to be a seller’s market in the NRV - especially Blacksburg.

Here are some key stats for single family homes, 3000’ or less sq. ft, that sold for under $300k:

  • The number of homes on the market are down 14% from this same time last year

  • The average sales price rose 5% (that’s great appreciation for just 1 year!) from $203k-$213k

  • And here’s a BIG stat - the average days on market fell from 37 to 10!

  • Because of this, homes have gone from selling for 97% to 99% of their list price.

What does this mean for me?

… if you are a seller:

If you are a homeowner (or investment property owner), and have thought about when might be a good time to sell, now is that time! I am currently working with a family who just added a beautiful new baby and has outgrown their place and decided to list now to take advantage of this great market.

Could next year be better than this year? Absolutely. For the past few years, people have commented how this increasing market can’t go on for much long … but it continues to. At the same time, no one knows the future, but we do know the present. And at the present moment, if you bought your home more than 3 years ago, you have a good chance of capturing the reward of a good investment in this market.

Please reach out to me if you have any questions about this I can answer!

… if you are a buyer:

  1. Think long term. If this is a house you could see yourself in for the next 10 years, then maybe it is worth overpaying for to go ahead and get in. Most likely, 10 years from now in our area, with the growth of industry and universities, you will have made a sound financial purchase. But, keep in mind that most folks stay in a home 5-7 years and then move.

  2. Think about your budget. It is not worth it to get into your dream home only to be house poor and have to eat Ramen Noodles every day for the next 5 years. Not that I have anything against Ramen Noodles - I just want it to be my choice whether or not I eat them. My suggestion would be that you budget for your PITI (basically your mortgage + taxes + insurance) to be between 25-30% of your gross income. If you’re in that range and it’s the perfect place, it might be worth it to splurge a little to get it.

  3. Get pre-qualified! With homes going as quickly as they are, make sure you have already talked to a local lender who has given you a letter saying that you are pre-qualified for at least as much as the house you are offering on will sell for. In today’s market, some sellers will not look at your offer without this. Connect with me if you have questions about how to do this!

How long do you think this seller’s market will last? If you have any questions I could help you with, don’t hesitate to reach out to me by clicking here! Don’t forget to sign up for my email list on the sidebar to the right to make sure you get more helpful content like this.